Bracket comparison
Well, we didn't do too badly this year. All in all, I thought the tournament committee was somewhat predictable this year. Some items surprised me, but we'll get to that later this evening.
Let's start off by looking at the final NetWire bracket versus the final NCAA bracket.
At-Large teams predicted: 32 out of 34
I missed Arkansas and Stanford, which is irritating because I nearly put Arkansas in at the last minute. Oh well. I had Drexel and Syracuse in, and I'm a bit surprised that the committee didn't at least take Syracuse, if only to avoid a solid month of Jim Boeheim whining on national television. Syracuse doesn't really have a case, but Drexel probably does.
SEED PREDICTIONS
Seeds predicted exactly: 27 of 65 (41.5%)
Seeds predicted within one of actual: 51 of 65 (78.5%)
Seeds predicted within two of actual: 63 of 65 (97.0%)
Again, I'm fairly pleased with this outcome, particularly with some of the curveballs that the committee threw. I was mildly surprised to see Virginia, Butler, Indiana, Purdue, Gonzaga, and George Washington seeded as highly as they were, but they were all within two of my projection. Similarly, I was surprised that UNLV, Marquette, and Arizona seeded as poorly as they were, but again, they were within two of my projection. And it is heartening to see that I managed to get every team that I had in the field within two of actual --- the only two I missed by more on were the two teams that weren't in it at all.
REGIONS AND PODS:
I had Ohio State in the Midwest, Florida in the South, UCLA in the West, and UNC in the East. Obviously UCLA wasn't the 1 seed, so that pick disappeared. I still don't comprehend the committee's philosophy of putting Florida in the Midwest (playing in St. Louis for the Regional Final) and Ohio State in the South (playing in San Antonio for the Regional Final). Maybe my geography is off, but shouldn't Florida --- a decidedly SOUTHERN team --- play in the South?
Other than that, I didn't think there were many shockers. I was slightly surprised that Georgetown was sent to Winston-Salem instead of Buffalo. Not only is Buffalo in Big East country, but it's also closer mileage-wise to Washington, DC than Winston-Salem is!
I'll have my thoughts on the bracket itself, including matchups, predictions, and other errata, later on this evening. Stay tuned!
Let's start off by looking at the final NetWire bracket versus the final NCAA bracket.
At-Large teams predicted: 32 out of 34
I missed Arkansas and Stanford, which is irritating because I nearly put Arkansas in at the last minute. Oh well. I had Drexel and Syracuse in, and I'm a bit surprised that the committee didn't at least take Syracuse, if only to avoid a solid month of Jim Boeheim whining on national television. Syracuse doesn't really have a case, but Drexel probably does.
SEED PREDICTIONS
Seeds predicted exactly: 27 of 65 (41.5%)
Seeds predicted within one of actual: 51 of 65 (78.5%)
Seeds predicted within two of actual: 63 of 65 (97.0%)
Again, I'm fairly pleased with this outcome, particularly with some of the curveballs that the committee threw. I was mildly surprised to see Virginia, Butler, Indiana, Purdue, Gonzaga, and George Washington seeded as highly as they were, but they were all within two of my projection. Similarly, I was surprised that UNLV, Marquette, and Arizona seeded as poorly as they were, but again, they were within two of my projection. And it is heartening to see that I managed to get every team that I had in the field within two of actual --- the only two I missed by more on were the two teams that weren't in it at all.
REGIONS AND PODS:
I had Ohio State in the Midwest, Florida in the South, UCLA in the West, and UNC in the East. Obviously UCLA wasn't the 1 seed, so that pick disappeared. I still don't comprehend the committee's philosophy of putting Florida in the Midwest (playing in St. Louis for the Regional Final) and Ohio State in the South (playing in San Antonio for the Regional Final). Maybe my geography is off, but shouldn't Florida --- a decidedly SOUTHERN team --- play in the South?
Other than that, I didn't think there were many shockers. I was slightly surprised that Georgetown was sent to Winston-Salem instead of Buffalo. Not only is Buffalo in Big East country, but it's also closer mileage-wise to Washington, DC than Winston-Salem is!
I'll have my thoughts on the bracket itself, including matchups, predictions, and other errata, later on this evening. Stay tuned!

1 Comments:
Great site.
Winston-Salem is about 100 miles closer to D.C. than Buffalo.
Speaking of pods, I think the biggest faux pas's are Florida playing St Louis and Louisville getting to play in Lexington for rounds 1 and 2.
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